Kyle Pitts vs Dallas Goedert
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 0.9 projected points (8.9 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kyle Pitts faces GB, the 25th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dallas Goedert faces CHI, the 20th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kyle Pitts, and it isn't close: 21.2 points of value over replacement separate them (-18.0 vs -39.1).
The draft market agrees: Kyle Pitts goes first at ADP 80.8 vs 121.6 for Dallas Goedert.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kyle PittsATL | Dallas GoedertPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | GB | CHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 8.9 | 8.0 | Pitts +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #25 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 160.5 | 139.3 | Pitts +21.2 pts |
| Points per game | 9.4 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -18.0 | -39.1 | Pitts +21.2 |
| Overall rank | #94 | #113 | Pitts by 19 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE12 | |
| Market ADP | 80.8 | 121.6 | Goedert +40.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Doubtful |
Should I start Kyle Pitts or Dallas Goedert in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyle Pitts by 0.9 projected points (8.9 vs 8.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Kyle Pitts or Dallas Goedert in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyle Pitts. He projects 160.5 fantasy points with -18.0 value over replacement, vs 139.3 points and -39.1 for Dallas Goedert (TE, PPR).