Dallas Goedert vs T.J. Hockenson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.3 projected points (10.2 vs 9.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
T.J. Hockenson faces NO, the 10th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dallas Goedert faces JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Dallas Goedert ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 1.7 points of value over replacement (-22.8 vs -24.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Dallas Goedert goes first at ADP 121.6 vs 162.0 for T.J. Hockenson.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | T.J. HockensonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | JAX | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.9 | 10.2 | Hockenson +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.2 | 167.5 | Goedert +1.7 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.8 | -24.5 | Goedert +1.7 |
| Overall rank | #95 | #99 | Goedert by 4 |
| Position rank | TE14 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 162.0 | Hockenson +40.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or T.J. Hockenson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans T.J. Hockenson by 0.3 projected points (10.2 vs 9.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or T.J. Hockenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 169.2 fantasy points with -22.8 value over replacement, vs 167.5 points and -24.5 for T.J. Hockenson (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.