Dalton Schultz vs Dallas Goedert
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Dalton Schultz this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (11.4 vs 10.0).
Dalton Schultz faces DAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dallas Goedert faces LA, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dalton Schultz, and it isn't close: 17.7 points of value over replacement separate them (0.5 vs -17.3).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Dallas Goedert first (ADP 121.6 vs 176.6). If the model is right, Dalton Schultz is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dalton SchultzHOU | Dallas GoedertPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DAL | LA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 11.4 | 10.0 | Schultz +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 198.0 | 180.3 | Schultz +17.7 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 10.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.5 | -17.3 | Schultz +17.7 |
| Overall rank | #69 | #85 | Schultz by 16 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE12 | |
| Market ADP | 176.6 | 121.6 | Schultz +55.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | None | Doubtful |
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Dallas Goedert in Week 4?
Start Dalton Schultz this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (11.4 vs 10.0).
Should I draft Dalton Schultz or Dallas Goedert in 2026 fantasy football?
Dalton Schultz. He projects 198.0 fantasy points with 0.5 value over replacement, vs 180.3 points and -17.3 for Dallas Goedert (TE, PPR).