Dalton Schultz vs Isaiah Likely
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Dalton Schultz this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (11.4 vs 9.3).
Dalton Schultz faces DAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Isaiah Likely faces ARI, the 26th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dalton Schultz, and it isn't close: 29.1 points of value over replacement separate them (0.5 vs -28.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Isaiah Likely first (ADP 136.6 vs 176.6). If the model is right, Dalton Schultz is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Dalton SchultzHOU | Isaiah LikelyNYG | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DAL | ARI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 11.4 | 9.3 | Schultz +2.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 198.0 | 168.9 | Schultz +29.1 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.5 | -28.6 | Schultz +29.1 |
| Overall rank | #69 | #101 | Schultz by 32 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE13 | |
| Market ADP | 176.6 | 136.6 | Schultz +40.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Dalton Schultz or Isaiah Likely in Week 4?
Start Dalton Schultz this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (11.4 vs 9.3).
Should I draft Dalton Schultz or Isaiah Likely in 2026 fantasy football?
Dalton Schultz. He projects 198.0 fantasy points with 0.5 value over replacement, vs 168.9 points and -28.6 for Isaiah Likely (TE, PPR).