Jake Ferguson vs Dalton Schultz
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.4 vs 11.4).
Jake Ferguson faces HOU, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Dalton Schultz faces DAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jake Ferguson by 3.4 points of value over replacement (3.9 vs 0.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Jake Ferguson goes first at ADP 137.4 vs 176.6 for Dalton Schultz.
| Jake FergusonDAL | Dalton SchultzHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | DAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.4 | 11.4 | Ferguson +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 201.4 | 198.0 | Ferguson +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 11.8 | 11.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 3.9 | 0.5 | Ferguson +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #65 | #69 | Ferguson by 4 |
| Position rank | TE9 | TE11 | |
| Market ADP | 137.4 | 176.6 | Schultz +39.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Dalton Schultz in Week 4?
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (13.4 vs 11.4).
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Dalton Schultz in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 201.4 fantasy points with 3.9 value over replacement, vs 198.0 points and 0.5 for Dalton Schultz (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.