Sam LaPorta vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Sam LaPorta by 0.3 projected points (13.7 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Sam LaPorta faces CAR, the 1st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Jake Ferguson faces HOU, the 4th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Sam LaPorta by 0.8 points of value over replacement (4.7 vs 3.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Sam LaPorta goes first at ADP 100.4 vs 137.4 for Jake Ferguson.
| Sam LaPortaDET | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | CAR | HOU | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.7 | 13.4 | LaPorta +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #1 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 202.3 | 201.4 | LaPorta +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 11.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 4.7 | 3.9 | LaPorta +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #64 | #65 | LaPorta by 1 |
| Position rank | TE8 | TE9 | |
| Market ADP | 100.4 | 137.4 | Ferguson +37.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 14 |
Should I start Sam LaPorta or Jake Ferguson in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Sam LaPorta by 0.3 projected points (13.7 vs 13.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Sam LaPorta or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam LaPorta. He projects 202.3 fantasy points with 4.7 value over replacement, vs 201.4 points and 3.9 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.