Head to head · TE · 2026
Sam LaPorta vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Sam LaPorta
The model takes Sam LaPorta, and it isn't close: 15.9 points of value over replacement separate them (-11.3 vs -27.2).
The draft market agrees: Sam LaPorta goes first at ADP 73.3 vs 118.6 for Jake Ferguson.
| Sam LaPorta | Jake Ferguson | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DET | DAL | |
| Overall rank | #91 | #108 | LaPorta by 17 |
| Position rank | TE8 | TE11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 161.5 | 145.6 | LaPorta +15.9 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -11.3 | -27.2 | LaPorta +15.9 |
| Market ADP | 73.3 | 118.6 | Ferguson +45.3 cheaper |
Should I draft Sam LaPorta or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Sam LaPorta. He projects 161.5 fantasy points with -11.3 value over replacement, vs 145.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).