Dallas Goedert vs Darren Waller
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Dallas Goedert this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (10.0 vs 7.9).
Dallas Goedert faces LA, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Darren Waller faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dallas Goedert, and it isn't close: 27.1 points of value over replacement separate them (-17.3 vs -44.4).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Darren WallerMIA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LA | MIN | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 10.0 | 7.9 | Goedert +2.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #24 | #31 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 180.3 | 153.1 | Goedert +27.1 pts |
| Points per game | 10.6 | 9.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -17.3 | -44.4 | Goedert +27.1 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #119 | Goedert by 34 |
| Position rank | TE12 | TE15 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | - | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Doubtful | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Darren Waller in Week 4?
Start Dallas Goedert this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.2 projected points (10.0 vs 7.9).
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Darren Waller in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 180.3 fantasy points with -17.3 value over replacement, vs 153.1 points and -44.4 for Darren Waller (TE, PPR).