Dallas Goedert vs Tucker Kraft
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.0 projected points (10.0 vs 10.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dallas Goedert faces LA, the 24th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Tucker Kraft faces TB, the 10th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dallas Goedert, and it isn't close: 15.0 points of value over replacement separate them (-17.3 vs -32.3).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Tucker Kraft first (ADP 105.7 vs 121.6). If the model is right, Dallas Goedert is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Tucker KraftGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LA | TB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 10.0 | 10.0 | Even |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #24 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 180.3 | 165.3 | Goedert +15.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.6 | 9.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -17.3 | -32.3 | Goedert +15.0 |
| Overall rank | #85 | #107 | Goedert by 22 |
| Position rank | TE12 | TE14 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 105.7 | Goedert +15.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Doubtful | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Tucker Kraft in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.0 projected points (10.0 vs 10.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Tucker Kraft in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 180.3 fantasy points with -17.3 value over replacement, vs 165.3 points and -32.3 for Tucker Kraft (TE, PPR).