Dak Prescott vs Tyler Shough
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Dak Prescott this week, and it isn't close: 3.5 projected points separate them (21.6 vs 18.1).
Dak Prescott faces HOU, the 1st-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Tyler Shough faces ATL, the 20th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dak Prescott: a clear but modest edge of 6.3 points of value over replacement (55.2 vs 49.0).
The draft market agrees: Dak Prescott goes first at ADP 65.3 vs 137.8 for Tyler Shough.
| Dak PrescottDAL | Tyler ShoughNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 21.6 | 18.1 | Prescott +3.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #1 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 324.0 | 317.7 | Prescott +6.3 pts |
| Points per game | 19.1 | 18.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 55.2 | 49.0 | Prescott +6.3 |
| Overall rank | #26 | #34 | Prescott by 8 |
| Position rank | QB3 | QB5 | |
| Market ADP | 65.3 | 137.8 | Shough +72.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start Dak Prescott or Tyler Shough in Week 4?
Start Dak Prescott this week, and it isn't close: 3.5 projected points separate them (21.6 vs 18.1).
Should I draft Dak Prescott or Tyler Shough in 2026 fantasy football?
Dak Prescott. He projects 324.0 fantasy points with 55.2 value over replacement, vs 317.7 points and 49.0 for Tyler Shough (QB, PPR).