Carson Wentz vs Drake Maye
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carson Wentz by 0.6 projected points (13.8 vs 13.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Carson Wentz faces MIA, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Drake Maye faces BUF, the 15th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Carson Wentz by 4.0 points of value over replacement (-39.9 vs -43.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Carson WentzMIN | Drake MayeNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIA | BUF | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.8 | 13.2 | Wentz +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 228.9 | 224.9 | Wentz +4.0 pts |
| Points per game | 13.5 | 13.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -39.9 | -43.9 | Wentz +4.0 |
| Overall rank | #116 | #118 | Wentz by 2 |
| Position rank | QB24 | QB25 | |
| Market ADP | - | 51.8 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 |
Should I start Carson Wentz or Drake Maye in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carson Wentz by 0.6 projected points (13.8 vs 13.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Carson Wentz or Drake Maye in 2026 fantasy football?
Carson Wentz. He projects 228.9 fantasy points with -39.9 value over replacement, vs 224.9 points and -43.9 for Drake Maye (QB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.