Daniel Jones vs Carson Wentz
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carson Wentz by 0.4 projected points (13.8 vs 13.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Carson Wentz faces MIA, the 12th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Daniel Jones faces WAS, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Daniel Jones ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Daniel Jones: a clear but modest edge of 6.7 points of value over replacement (-33.2 vs -39.9).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Daniel JonesIND | Carson WentzMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | WAS | MIA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.3 | 13.8 | Wentz +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 235.6 | 228.9 | Jones +6.7 pts |
| Points per game | 13.9 | 13.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -33.2 | -39.9 | Jones +6.7 |
| Overall rank | #108 | #116 | Jones by 8 |
| Position rank | QB23 | QB24 | |
| Market ADP | 160.6 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 6 |
Should I start Daniel Jones or Carson Wentz in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Carson Wentz by 0.4 projected points (13.8 vs 13.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Daniel Jones or Carson Wentz in 2026 fantasy football?
Daniel Jones. He projects 235.6 fantasy points with -33.2 value over replacement, vs 228.9 points and -39.9 for Carson Wentz (QB, PPR).