Lamar Jackson vs Daniel Jones
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Lamar Jackson this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.7 projected points (16.0 vs 13.3).
Lamar Jackson faces TEN, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Daniel Jones faces WAS, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Lamar Jackson: a clear but modest edge of 5.8 points of value over replacement (-27.4 vs -33.2).
The draft market agrees: Lamar Jackson goes first at ADP 54.6 vs 160.6 for Daniel Jones.
Health note: Lamar Jackson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Lamar JacksonBAL | Daniel JonesIND | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | TEN | WAS | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 16.0 | 13.3 | Jackson +2.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #2 | #22 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 241.4 | 235.6 | Jackson +5.8 pts |
| Points per game | 14.2 | 13.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -27.4 | -33.2 | Jackson +5.8 |
| Overall rank | #98 | #108 | Jackson by 10 |
| Position rank | QB20 | QB23 | |
| Market ADP | 54.6 | 160.6 | Jones +106.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Lamar Jackson or Daniel Jones in Week 4?
Start Lamar Jackson this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.7 projected points (16.0 vs 13.3).
Should I draft Lamar Jackson or Daniel Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Lamar Jackson. He projects 241.4 fantasy points with -27.4 value over replacement, vs 235.6 points and -33.2 for Daniel Jones (QB, PPR).