Matthew Stafford vs Bryce Young
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.8 projected points (18.5 vs 17.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Matthew Stafford faces PHI, the 17th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Bryce Young faces DET, the 9th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Matthew Stafford, and it isn't close: 26.4 points of value over replacement separate them (47.6 vs 21.3).
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 74.2 vs 168.2 for Bryce Young.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | Bryce YoungCAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PHI | DET | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 18.5 | 17.7 | Stafford +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 316.4 | 290.0 | Stafford +26.4 pts |
| Points per game | 18.6 | 17.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 47.6 | 21.3 | Stafford +26.4 |
| Overall rank | #37 | #47 | Stafford by 10 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB8 | |
| Market ADP | 74.2 | 168.2 | Young +94.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 5 |
Should I start Matthew Stafford or Bryce Young in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.8 projected points (18.5 vs 17.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Bryce Young in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 316.4 fantasy points with 47.6 value over replacement, vs 290.0 points and 21.3 for Bryce Young (QB, PPR).