Matthew Stafford vs Jordan Love
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.8 projected points (18.5 vs 17.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Matthew Stafford faces PHI, the 17th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week. Jordan Love faces TB, the 7th-friendliest matchup a QB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Matthew Stafford, and it isn't close: 29.6 points of value over replacement separate them (47.6 vs 18.0).
The draft market agrees: Matthew Stafford goes first at ADP 74.2 vs 139.2 for Jordan Love.
| Matthew StaffordLAR | Jordan LoveGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | PHI | TB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 18.5 | 17.7 | Stafford +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (QB vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #7 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 316.4 | 286.7 | Stafford +29.6 pts |
| Points per game | 18.6 | 16.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 47.6 | 18.0 | Stafford +29.6 |
| Overall rank | #37 | #52 | Stafford by 15 |
| Position rank | QB6 | QB9 | |
| Market ADP | 74.2 | 139.2 | Love +65.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Matthew Stafford or Jordan Love in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Matthew Stafford by 0.8 projected points (18.5 vs 17.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Matthew Stafford or Jordan Love in 2026 fantasy football?
Matthew Stafford. He projects 316.4 fantasy points with 47.6 value over replacement, vs 286.7 points and 18.0 for Jordan Love (QB, PPR).