Dallas Goedert vs Brenton Strange
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.8 projected points (9.9 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Dallas Goedert faces JAX, the 16th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Brenton Strange faces PHI, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Dallas Goedert: a clear but modest edge of 10.8 points of value over replacement (-22.8 vs -33.5).
The draft market agrees: Dallas Goedert goes first at ADP 121.6 vs 162.8 for Brenton Strange.
Health note: Dallas Goedert carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - MCL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Dallas GoedertPHI | Brenton StrangeJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | JAX | PHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.9 | 9.1 | Goedert +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #23 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 169.2 | 158.4 | Goedert +10.8 pts |
| Points per game | 10.0 | 9.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -22.8 | -33.5 | Goedert +10.8 |
| Overall rank | #95 | #112 | Goedert by 17 |
| Position rank | TE14 | TE17 | |
| Market ADP | 121.6 | 162.8 | Strange +41.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Dallas Goedert or Brenton Strange in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Dallas Goedert by 0.8 projected points (9.9 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dallas Goedert or Brenton Strange in 2026 fantasy football?
Dallas Goedert. He projects 169.2 fantasy points with -22.8 value over replacement, vs 158.4 points and -33.5 for Brenton Strange (TE, PPR).