Tyler Allgeier vs Zach Charbonnet
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.4 projected points (4.3 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Allgeier faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Zach Charbonnet faces LAC, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Allgeier: a clear but modest edge of 7.6 points of value over replacement (-65.7 vs -73.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Zach Charbonnet first (ADP 145.8 vs 154.9). If the model is right, Tyler Allgeier is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Zach Charbonnet carries an injury flag of PUP (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Tyler AllgeierARI | Zach CharbonnetSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | LAC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 4.3 | 3.9 | Allgeier +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.8 | 63.2 | Allgeier +7.6 pts |
| Points per game | 4.2 | 3.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.7 | -73.4 | Allgeier +7.6 |
| Overall rank | #146 | #154 | Allgeier by 8 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 154.9 | 145.8 | Allgeier +9.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | PUP |
Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Zach Charbonnet in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.4 projected points (4.3 vs 3.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Zach Charbonnet in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Allgeier. He projects 70.8 fantasy points with -65.7 value over replacement, vs 63.2 points and -73.4 for Zach Charbonnet (RB, PPR).