Tyler Allgeier vs Brian Robinson Jr.
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.3 projected points (3.9 vs 3.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Allgeier faces SF, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Brian Robinson Jr. faces ARI, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Allgeier: a clear but modest edge of 14.3 points of value over replacement (-65.7 vs -80.1).
The draft market agrees: Tyler Allgeier goes first at ADP 154.9 vs 161.9 for Brian Robinson Jr..
| Tyler AllgeierARI | Brian Robinson Jr.SFO | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SF | ARI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.9 | 3.6 | Allgeier +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #24 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.8 | 56.5 | Allgeier +14.3 pts |
| Points per game | 4.2 | 3.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.7 | -80.1 | Allgeier +14.3 |
| Overall rank | #145 | #157 | Allgeier by 12 |
| Position rank | RB46 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 154.9 | 161.9 | Jr. +7.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.3 projected points (3.9 vs 3.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Brian Robinson Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Allgeier. He projects 70.8 fantasy points with -65.7 value over replacement, vs 56.5 points and -80.1 for Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, PPR).