Tyler Allgeier vs Chris Rodriguez
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB54
Tyler Allgeier
70.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB56
Chris Rodriguez
69.1
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 1.8 points of value over replacement (-62.7 vs -64.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Tyler Allgeier goes first at ADP 154.9 vs 157.2 for Chris Rodriguez.
| Tyler AllgeierARI | Chris RodriguezJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.9 | 69.1 | Allgeier +1.8 pts |
| Points per game | 4.2 | 4.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -62.7 | -64.5 | Allgeier +1.8 |
| Overall rank | #153 | #158 | Allgeier by 5 |
| Position rank | RB54 | RB56 | |
| Market ADP | 154.9 | 157.2 | Rodriguez +2.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Chris Rodriguez in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Allgeier. He projects 70.9 fantasy points with -62.7 value over replacement, vs 69.1 points and -64.5 for Chris Rodriguez (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.