Head to head · RB · 2026
Alvin Kamara vs Tyler Allgeier
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Alvin Kamara
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 3.1 points of value over replacement (-55.7 vs -58.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Alvin Kamara goes first at ADP 154.1 vs 170.2 for Tyler Allgeier.
| Alvin Kamara | Tyler Allgeier | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | NOR | ARI | |
| Overall rank | #147 | #155 | Kamara by 8 |
| Position rank | RB54 | RB56 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 74.0 | 70.9 | Kamara +3.1 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -55.7 | -58.9 | Kamara +3.1 |
| Market ADP | 154.1 | 170.2 | Allgeier +16.1 cheaper |
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Tyler Allgeier in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 74.0 fantasy points with -55.7 value over replacement, vs 70.9 points and -58.9 for Tyler Allgeier (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.