Alvin Kamara vs Saquon Barkley
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Alvin Kamara this week: Saquon Barkley is on bye in Week 10.
Alvin Kamara gets CAR, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week, projecting 9.5 points.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Alvin Kamara: a clear but modest edge of 14.4 points of value over replacement (16.1 vs 1.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Saquon Barkley first (ADP 18.3 vs 148.7). If the model is right, Alvin Kamara is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Alvin KamaraNOR | Saquon BarkleyPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | CAR | Bye | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 9.5 | 0.0 | Kamara +9.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #15 | - | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 162.8 | 148.4 | Kamara +14.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.6 | 8.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 16.1 | 1.7 | Kamara +14.4 |
| Overall rank | #57 | #68 | Kamara by 11 |
| Position rank | RB25 | RB28 | |
| Market ADP | 148.7 | 18.3 | Kamara +130.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 |
Should I start Alvin Kamara or Saquon Barkley in Week 10?
Start Alvin Kamara this week: Saquon Barkley is on bye in Week 10.
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Saquon Barkley in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 162.8 fantasy points with 16.1 value over replacement, vs 148.4 points and 1.7 for Saquon Barkley (RB, PPR).