Tyler Allgeier vs Mike Washington Jr.
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.3 projected points (3.9 vs 3.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyler Allgeier faces SF, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Mike Washington Jr. faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 4.8 points of value over replacement (-65.7 vs -70.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Washington Jr. first (ADP 151.4 vs 154.9). If the model is right, Tyler Allgeier is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Tyler AllgeierARI | Mike Washington Jr.LVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | SF | NO | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.9 | 3.6 | Allgeier +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #24 | #26 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.8 | 66.0 | Allgeier +4.8 pts |
| Points per game | 4.2 | 3.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.7 | -70.6 | Allgeier +4.8 |
| Overall rank | #145 | #150 | Allgeier by 5 |
| Position rank | RB46 | RB47 | |
| Market ADP | 154.9 | 151.4 | Allgeier +3.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 13 |
Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Mike Washington Jr. in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyler Allgeier by 0.3 projected points (3.9 vs 3.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Mike Washington Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Allgeier. He projects 70.8 fantasy points with -65.7 value over replacement, vs 66.0 points and -70.6 for Mike Washington Jr. (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.