Chris Rodriguez vs Mike Washington Jr.
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.5 projected points (5.2 vs 4.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Rodriguez faces HOU, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Mike Washington Jr. faces BUF, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Rodriguez: a clear but modest edge of 11.8 points of value over replacement (-68.0 vs -79.8).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Mike Washington Jr. first (ADP 151.4 vs 156.3). If the model is right, Chris Rodriguez is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Chris RodriguezJAX | Mike Washington Jr.LVR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | HOU | BUF | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 5.2 | 4.7 | Rodriguez +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #19 | #16 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 89.7 | 77.9 | Rodriguez +11.8 pts |
| Points per game | 5.3 | 4.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -68.0 | -79.8 | Rodriguez +11.8 |
| Overall rank | #156 | #169 | Rodriguez by 13 |
| Position rank | RB51 | RB54 | |
| Market ADP | 156.3 | 151.4 | Rodriguez +4.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 |
Should I start Chris Rodriguez or Mike Washington Jr. in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Rodriguez by 0.5 projected points (5.2 vs 4.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Chris Rodriguez or Mike Washington Jr. in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Rodriguez. He projects 89.7 fantasy points with -68.0 value over replacement, vs 77.9 points and -79.8 for Mike Washington Jr. (RB, PPR).