Jordan Mason vs Chris Rodriguez
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jordan Mason faces TB, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Chris Rodriguez faces NE, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jordan Mason: a clear but modest edge of 5.8 points of value over replacement (-58.7 vs -64.4).
The draft market agrees: Jordan Mason goes first at ADP 111.6 vs 156.3 for Chris Rodriguez.
Health note: Jordan Mason carries an injury flag of IR (Thumb), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jordan MasonMIN | Chris RodriguezJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | NE | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.1 | 4.3 | Mason +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 77.9 | 72.1 | Mason +5.8 pts |
| Points per game | 4.6 | 4.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.7 | -64.4 | Mason +5.8 |
| Overall rank | #137 | #142 | Mason by 5 |
| Position rank | RB43 | RB45 | |
| Market ADP | 111.6 | 156.3 | Rodriguez +44.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start Jordan Mason or Chris Rodriguez in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.8 projected points (5.1 vs 4.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jordan Mason or Chris Rodriguez in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Mason. He projects 77.9 fantasy points with -58.7 value over replacement, vs 72.1 points and -64.4 for Chris Rodriguez (RB, PPR).