Woody Marks vs Jordan Mason
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.2 projected points (5.1 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jordan Mason faces TB, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Woody Marks faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Woody Marks ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 0.6 points of value over replacement (-58.1 vs -58.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jordan Mason first (ADP 111.6 vs 140.9). If the model is right, Woody Marks is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jordan Mason carries an injury flag of IR (Thumb), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Woody MarksHOU | Jordan MasonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | IND | TB | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 4.9 | 5.1 | Mason +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 78.5 | 77.9 | Marks +0.6 pts |
| Points per game | 4.6 | 4.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.1 | -58.7 | Marks +0.6 |
| Overall rank | #136 | #137 | Marks by 1 |
| Position rank | RB42 | RB43 | |
| Market ADP | 140.9 | 111.6 | Marks +29.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Woody Marks or Jordan Mason in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.2 projected points (5.1 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Woody Marks or Jordan Mason in 2026 fantasy football?
Woody Marks. He projects 78.5 fantasy points with -58.1 value over replacement, vs 77.9 points and -58.7 for Jordan Mason (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.