Aaron Jones vs Woody Marks
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Aaron Jones this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (6.3 vs 4.9).
Aaron Jones faces TB, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Woody Marks faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Aaron Jones, and it isn't close: 17.7 points of value over replacement separate them (-40.4 vs -58.1).
The draft market agrees: Aaron Jones goes first at ADP 101.6 vs 140.9 for Woody Marks.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Woody MarksHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.3 | 4.9 | Jones +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #4 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 96.2 | 78.5 | Jones +17.7 pts |
| Points per game | 5.7 | 4.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -40.4 | -58.1 | Jones +17.7 |
| Overall rank | #114 | #136 | Jones by 22 |
| Position rank | RB39 | RB42 | |
| Market ADP | 101.6 | 140.9 | Marks +39.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 8 |
Should I start Aaron Jones or Woody Marks in Week 3?
Start Aaron Jones this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (6.3 vs 4.9).
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Woody Marks in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 96.2 fantasy points with -40.4 value over replacement, vs 78.5 points and -58.1 for Woody Marks (RB, PPR).