Aaron Jones vs Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 0.0 points of value over replacement (-37.1 vs -37.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Aaron Jones goes first at ADP 104.3 vs 115.2 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt.
Health note: Jacory Croskey-Merritt carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 96.4 | 96.4 | Even |
| Points per game | 5.7 | 5.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -37.1 | -37.2 | Even |
| Overall rank | #118 | #119 | Jones by 1 |
| Position rank | RB44 | RB45 | |
| Market ADP | 104.3 | 115.2 | Croskey-Merritt +10.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 96.4 fantasy points with -37.1 value over replacement, vs 96.4 points and -37.2 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.