Kyle Monangai vs Aaron Jones
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
The model takes Kyle Monangai: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (-25.7 vs -37.1).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Aaron Jones first (ADP 104.6 vs 110.2). If the model is right, Kyle Monangai is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Kyle Monangai carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kyle MonangaiCHI | Aaron JonesMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 107.9 | 96.4 | Monangai +11.5 pts |
| Points per game | 6.3 | 5.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -25.7 | -37.1 | Monangai +11.5 |
| Overall rank | #107 | #117 | Monangai by 10 |
| Position rank | RB40 | RB43 | |
| Market ADP | 110.2 | 104.6 | Monangai +5.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 10 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I draft Kyle Monangai or Aaron Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyle Monangai. He projects 107.9 fantasy points with -25.7 value over replacement, vs 96.4 points and -37.1 for Aaron Jones (RB, PPR).