RJ Harvey vs Aaron Jones
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans RJ Harvey by 0.7 projected points (7.3 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
RJ Harvey faces LAC, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Aaron Jones faces NO, the 15th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes RJ Harvey: a clear but modest edge of 12.4 points of value over replacement (-14.2 vs -26.6).
The draft market agrees: RJ Harvey goes first at ADP 94.1 vs 101.6 for Aaron Jones.
| RJ HarveyDEN | Aaron JonesMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | LAC | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.3 | 6.6 | Harvey +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #15 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 122.4 | 110.0 | Harvey +12.4 pts |
| Points per game | 7.2 | 6.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -14.2 | -26.6 | Harvey +12.4 |
| Overall rank | #89 | #101 | Harvey by 12 |
| Position rank | RB33 | RB36 | |
| Market ADP | 94.1 | 101.6 | Jones +7.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 6 |
Should I start RJ Harvey or Aaron Jones in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans RJ Harvey by 0.7 projected points (7.3 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft RJ Harvey or Aaron Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
RJ Harvey. He projects 122.4 fantasy points with -14.2 value over replacement, vs 110.0 points and -26.6 for Aaron Jones (RB, PPR).