Blake Corum vs Aaron Jones
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Blake Corum by 0.4 projected points (7.0 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Blake Corum faces BUF, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Aaron Jones faces NO, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Blake Corum by 3.1 points of value over replacement (-23.5 vs -26.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Aaron Jones first (ADP 101.6 vs 122.4). If the model is right, Blake Corum is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Blake CorumLAR | Aaron JonesMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BUF | NO | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.0 | 6.6 | Corum +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #9 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 113.1 | 110.0 | Corum +3.1 pts |
| Points per game | 6.7 | 6.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -23.5 | -26.6 | Corum +3.1 |
| Overall rank | #99 | #100 | Corum by 1 |
| Position rank | RB34 | RB35 | |
| Market ADP | 122.4 | 101.6 | Corum +20.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 9 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I start Blake Corum or Aaron Jones in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Blake Corum by 0.4 projected points (7.0 vs 6.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Blake Corum or Aaron Jones in 2026 fantasy football?
Blake Corum. He projects 113.1 fantasy points with -23.5 value over replacement, vs 110.0 points and -26.6 for Aaron Jones (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.