Rico Dowdle vs Blake Corum
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.7 projected points (6.6 vs 5.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Rico Dowdle faces CIN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Blake Corum faces DEN, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 13.2 points of value over replacement (-20.1 vs -33.2).
The draft market agrees: Rico Dowdle goes first at ADP 76.6 vs 122.4 for Blake Corum.
Health note: Rico Dowdle carries an injury flag of Out (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Blake CorumLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | CIN | DEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 6.6 | 5.9 | Dowdle +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #21 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 116.5 | 103.3 | Dowdle +13.2 pts |
| Points per game | 6.9 | 6.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -20.1 | -33.2 | Dowdle +13.2 |
| Overall rank | #97 | #107 | Dowdle by 10 |
| Position rank | RB34 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | 76.6 | 122.4 | Corum +45.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Rico Dowdle or Blake Corum in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.7 projected points (6.6 vs 5.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Blake Corum in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 116.5 fantasy points with -20.1 value over replacement, vs 103.3 points and -33.2 for Blake Corum (RB, PPR).