Head to head · RB · 2026
Rico Dowdle vs J.K. Dobbins
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Rico Dowdle
The model takes Rico Dowdle: a clear but modest edge of 8.4 points of value over replacement (-1.7 vs -10.1).
The draft market agrees: Rico Dowdle goes first at ADP 78.6 vs 93.5 for J.K. Dobbins.
| Rico Dowdle | J.K. Dobbins | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | PIT | DEN | |
| Overall rank | #74 | #89 | Dowdle by 15 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB35 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 128.0 | 119.6 | Dowdle +8.4 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.7 | -10.1 | Dowdle +8.4 |
| Market ADP | 78.6 | 93.5 | Dobbins +14.9 cheaper |
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or J.K. Dobbins in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 128.0 fantasy points with -1.7 value over replacement, vs 119.6 points and -10.1 for J.K. Dobbins (RB, PPR).