Woody Marks vs Rico Dowdle
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 0.3 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Woody Marks faces JAX, the 10th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rico Dowdle faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 4.7 points of value over replacement (-4.4 vs -9.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Rico Dowdle first (ADP 76.6 vs 140.9). If the model is right, Woody Marks is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Woody MarksHOU | Rico DowdlePIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | JAX | TB | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 9.5 | 9.1 | Marks +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #10 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.8 | 151.1 | Marks +4.7 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -4.4 | -9.1 | Marks +4.7 |
| Overall rank | #76 | #83 | Marks by 7 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB35 | |
| Market ADP | 140.9 | 76.6 | Marks +64.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 9 |
Should I start Woody Marks or Rico Dowdle in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Woody Marks by 0.3 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Woody Marks or Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?
Woody Marks. He projects 155.8 fantasy points with -4.4 value over replacement, vs 151.1 points and -9.1 for Rico Dowdle (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.