Rico Dowdle vs Emanuel Wilson
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.1 projected points (9.1 vs 9.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Rico Dowdle faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Emanuel Wilson faces DEN, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.2 points of value over replacement (-6.6 vs -6.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Rico Dowdle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Emanuel WilsonSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TB | DEN | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 9.1 | 9.0 | Dowdle +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #13 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.1 | 150.9 | Dowdle +0.2 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -6.6 | -6.8 | Dowdle +0.2 |
| Overall rank | #81 | #82 | Dowdle by 1 |
| Position rank | RB35 | RB36 | |
| Market ADP | 76.6 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | - | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Rico Dowdle or Emanuel Wilson in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.1 projected points (9.1 vs 9.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Emanuel Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 151.1 fantasy points with -6.6 value over replacement, vs 150.9 points and -6.8 for Emanuel Wilson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.