Rico Dowdle vs Josh Jacobs
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Jacobs by 0.3 projected points (9.4 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Josh Jacobs faces DAL, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rico Dowdle faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Rico Dowdle ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 6, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Rico Dowdle by 0.9 points of value over replacement (-6.6 vs -7.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Rico Dowdle goes first at ADP 76.6 vs 93.9 for Josh Jacobs.
Health note: Rico Dowdle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Rico DowdlePIT | Josh JacobsGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TB | DAL | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 9.1 | 9.4 | Jacobs +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #12 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.1 | 150.2 | Dowdle +0.9 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -6.6 | -7.5 | Dowdle +0.9 |
| Overall rank | #81 | #84 | Dowdle by 3 |
| Position rank | RB35 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | 76.6 | 93.9 | Jacobs +17.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | None |
Should I start Rico Dowdle or Josh Jacobs in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Josh Jacobs by 0.3 projected points (9.4 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Rico Dowdle or Josh Jacobs in 2026 fantasy football?
Rico Dowdle. He projects 151.1 fantasy points with -6.6 value over replacement, vs 150.2 points and -7.5 for Josh Jacobs (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.