David Montgomery vs Rico Dowdle
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.3 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
David Montgomery faces JAX, the 10th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rico Dowdle faces TB, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 4.7 points of value over replacement (-1.9 vs -6.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 52.0 vs 76.6 for Rico Dowdle.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Doubtful (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Rico Dowdle carries an injury flag of Questionable (Toe), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | Rico DowdlePIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | JAX | TB | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 9.5 | 9.1 | Montgomery +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #10 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 155.8 | 151.1 | Montgomery +4.7 pts |
| Points per game | 9.2 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -1.9 | -6.6 | Montgomery +4.7 |
| Overall rank | #74 | #81 | Montgomery by 7 |
| Position rank | RB32 | RB35 | |
| Market ADP | 52.0 | 76.6 | Dowdle +24.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 9 | |
| Injury flag | Doubtful | Questionable |
Should I start David Montgomery or Rico Dowdle in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.3 projected points (9.5 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft David Montgomery or Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 155.8 fantasy points with -1.9 value over replacement, vs 151.1 points and -6.6 for Rico Dowdle (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.