David Montgomery vs Jadarian Price
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.5 projected points (9.8 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
David Montgomery faces TEN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jadarian Price faces SF, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes David Montgomery: a clear but modest edge of 13.4 points of value over replacement (31.7 vs 18.3).
The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 52.0 vs 63.5 for Jadarian Price.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Out (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Jadarian Price carries an injury flag of IR (Chest), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | Jadarian PriceSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | SF | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.8 | 9.3 | Montgomery +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.3 | 154.9 | Montgomery +13.4 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 31.7 | 18.3 | Montgomery +13.4 |
| Overall rank | #44 | #53 | Montgomery by 9 |
| Position rank | RB22 | RB23 | |
| Market ADP | 52.0 | 63.5 | Price +11.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | IR |
Should I start David Montgomery or Jadarian Price in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.5 projected points (9.8 vs 9.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft David Montgomery or Jadarian Price in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 168.3 fantasy points with 31.7 value over replacement, vs 154.9 points and 18.3 for Jadarian Price (RB, PPR).