Travis Etienne vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Travis Etienne by 0.8 projected points (11.5 vs 10.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Travis Etienne faces LV, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. David Montgomery faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Travis Etienne, and it isn't close: 20.7 points of value over replacement separate them (54.1 vs 33.3).
The draft market agrees: Travis Etienne goes first at ADP 36.3 vs 52.0 for David Montgomery.
| Travis EtienneNOR | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LV | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.5 | 10.6 | Etienne +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 190.6 | 169.9 | Etienne +20.7 pts |
| Points per game | 11.2 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 54.1 | 33.3 | Etienne +20.7 |
| Overall rank | #33 | #42 | Etienne by 9 |
| Position rank | RB18 | RB21 | |
| Market ADP | 36.3 | 52.0 | Montgomery +15.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Travis Etienne or David Montgomery in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Travis Etienne by 0.8 projected points (11.5 vs 10.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Travis Etienne or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Travis Etienne. He projects 190.6 fantasy points with 54.1 value over replacement, vs 169.9 points and 33.3 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR).