D'Andre Swift vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D'Andre Swift by 0.7 projected points (11.3 vs 10.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
D'Andre Swift faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. David Montgomery faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes D'Andre Swift, and it isn't close: 16.1 points of value over replacement separate them (49.4 vs 33.3).
The draft market agrees: D'Andre Swift goes first at ADP 42.4 vs 52.0 for David Montgomery.
| D'Andre SwiftCHI | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | PHI | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.3 | 10.6 | Swift +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 186.0 | 169.9 | Swift +16.1 pts |
| Points per game | 10.9 | 10.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 49.4 | 33.3 | Swift +16.1 |
| Overall rank | #36 | #42 | Swift by 6 |
| Position rank | RB19 | RB21 | |
| Market ADP | 42.4 | 52.0 | Montgomery +9.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 8 |
Should I start D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D'Andre Swift by 0.7 projected points (11.3 vs 10.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft D'Andre Swift or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
D'Andre Swift. He projects 186.0 fantasy points with 49.4 value over replacement, vs 169.9 points and 33.3 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR).