Breece Hall vs D'Andre Swift
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D'Andre Swift by 0.5 projected points (11.3 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
D'Andre Swift faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Breece Hall faces DET, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Breece Hall ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Breece Hall: a clear but modest edge of 11.3 points of value over replacement (60.7 vs 49.4).
The draft market agrees: Breece Hall goes first at ADP 30.5 vs 42.4 for D'Andre Swift.
| Breece HallNYJ | D'Andre SwiftCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DET | PHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.7 | 11.3 | Swift +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 197.2 | 186.0 | Hall +11.3 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 10.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 60.7 | 49.4 | Hall +11.3 |
| Overall rank | #28 | #36 | Hall by 8 |
| Position rank | RB16 | RB19 | |
| Market ADP | 30.5 | 42.4 | Swift +11.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 10 |
Should I start Breece Hall or D'Andre Swift in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans D'Andre Swift by 0.5 projected points (11.3 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Breece Hall or D'Andre Swift in 2026 fantasy football?
Breece Hall. He projects 197.2 fantasy points with 60.7 value over replacement, vs 186.0 points and 49.4 for D'Andre Swift (RB, PPR).