Kyren Williams vs Breece Hall
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Kyren Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (12.8 vs 10.9).
Kyren Williams faces BUF, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Breece Hall faces CLE, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kyren Williams: a clear but modest edge of 6.9 points of value over replacement (70.5 vs 63.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Breece Hall first (ADP 30.5 vs 31.8). If the model is right, Kyren Williams is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Breece Hall carries an injury flag of Out (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | Breece HallNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BUF | CLE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.8 | 10.9 | Williams +1.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #9 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 207.1 | 200.2 | Williams +6.9 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 70.5 | 63.6 | Williams +6.9 |
| Overall rank | #23 | #28 | Williams by 5 |
| Position rank | RB14 | RB16 | |
| Market ADP | 31.8 | 30.5 | Williams +1.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Kyren Williams or Breece Hall in Week 5?
Start Kyren Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.9 projected points (12.8 vs 10.9).
Should I draft Kyren Williams or Breece Hall in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyren Williams. He projects 207.1 fantasy points with 70.5 value over replacement, vs 200.2 points and 63.6 for Breece Hall (RB, PPR).