De'Von Achane vs Kyren Williams
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyren Williams by 0.7 projected points (12.3 vs 11.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Kyren Williams faces PHI, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. De'Von Achane faces MIN, the 31st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks De'Von Achane ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes De'Von Achane, and it isn't close: 18.9 points of value over replacement separate them (89.4 vs 70.5).
The draft market agrees: De'Von Achane goes first at ADP 9.7 vs 31.8 for Kyren Williams.
Health note: De'Von Achane carries an injury flag of IR (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.
| De'Von AchaneMIA | Kyren WilliamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | MIN | PHI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 11.6 | 12.3 | Williams +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #31 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 226.0 | 207.1 | Achane +18.9 pts |
| Points per game | 13.3 | 12.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 89.4 | 70.5 | Achane +18.9 |
| Overall rank | #17 | #22 | Achane by 5 |
| Position rank | RB11 | RB14 | |
| Market ADP | 9.7 | 31.8 | Williams +22.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | IR | None |
Should I start De'Von Achane or Kyren Williams in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Kyren Williams by 0.7 projected points (12.3 vs 11.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft De'Von Achane or Kyren Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
De'Von Achane. He projects 226.0 fantasy points with 89.4 value over replacement, vs 207.1 points and 70.5 for Kyren Williams (RB, PPR).