Kyren Williams vs Javonte Williams
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Kyren Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (12.8 vs 10.7).
Kyren Williams faces BUF, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Javonte Williams faces TB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Kyren Williams by 4.4 points of value over replacement (70.5 vs 66.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Javonte Williams first (ADP 31.1 vs 31.8). If the model is right, Kyren Williams is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Kyren WilliamsLAR | Javonte WilliamsDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BUF | TB | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.8 | 10.7 | Williams +2.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #9 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 207.1 | 202.7 | Williams +4.4 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 70.5 | 66.1 | Williams +4.4 |
| Overall rank | #23 | #25 | Williams by 2 |
| Position rank | RB14 | RB15 | |
| Market ADP | 31.8 | 31.1 | Williams +0.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 14 |
Should I start Kyren Williams or Javonte Williams in Week 5?
Start Kyren Williams this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.0 projected points (12.8 vs 10.7).
Should I draft Kyren Williams or Javonte Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Kyren Williams. He projects 207.1 fantasy points with 70.5 value over replacement, vs 202.7 points and 66.1 for Javonte Williams (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.