Jeremiyah Love vs Javonte Williams
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Javonte Williams by 0.0 projected points (13.2 vs 13.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Javonte Williams faces HOU, the 4th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jeremiyah Love faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jeremiyah Love ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jeremiyah Love, and it isn't close: 16.6 points of value over replacement separate them (82.7 vs 66.1).
The draft market agrees: Jeremiyah Love goes first at ADP 28.3 vs 31.1 for Javonte Williams.
| Jeremiyah LoveARI | Javonte WilliamsDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | HOU | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 13.2 | 13.2 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #4 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 219.3 | 202.7 | Love +16.6 pts |
| Points per game | 12.9 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 82.7 | 66.1 | Love +16.6 |
| Overall rank | #19 | #26 | Love by 7 |
| Position rank | RB12 | RB15 | |
| Market ADP | 28.3 | 31.1 | Williams +2.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 14 |
Should I start Jeremiyah Love or Javonte Williams in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Javonte Williams by 0.0 projected points (13.2 vs 13.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jeremiyah Love or Javonte Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Jeremiyah Love. He projects 219.3 fantasy points with 82.7 value over replacement, vs 202.7 points and 66.1 for Javonte Williams (RB, PPR).