Javonte Williams vs Breece Hall
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Breece Hall by 0.1 projected points (10.9 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Breece Hall faces CLE, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Javonte Williams faces TB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Javonte Williams ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Javonte Williams by 2.5 points of value over replacement (66.1 vs 63.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Breece Hall first (ADP 30.5 vs 31.1). If the model is right, Javonte Williams is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Breece Hall carries an injury flag of Out (Quadriceps), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | Breece HallNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TB | CLE | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.7 | 10.9 | Hall +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #30 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 202.7 | 200.2 | Williams +2.5 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 11.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 66.1 | 63.6 | Williams +2.5 |
| Overall rank | #25 | #28 | Williams by 3 |
| Position rank | RB15 | RB16 | |
| Market ADP | 31.1 | 30.5 | Williams +0.6 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Javonte Williams or Breece Hall in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Breece Hall by 0.1 projected points (10.9 vs 10.7), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Javonte Williams or Breece Hall in 2026 fantasy football?
Javonte Williams. He projects 202.7 fantasy points with 66.1 value over replacement, vs 200.2 points and 63.6 for Breece Hall (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.