Quinshon Judkins vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Quinshon Judkins by 0.7 projected points (10.2 vs 9.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Quinshon Judkins faces NYJ, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. David Montgomery faces TEN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Quinshon Judkins: a clear but modest edge of 12.0 points of value over replacement (37.8 vs 25.8).
The draft market agrees: Quinshon Judkins goes first at ADP 48.7 vs 52.0 for David Montgomery.
| Quinshon JudkinsCLE | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYJ | TEN | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 10.2 | 9.4 | Judkins +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #19 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 174.3 | 162.4 | Judkins +12.0 pts |
| Points per game | 10.3 | 9.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 37.8 | 25.8 | Judkins +12.0 |
| Overall rank | #41 | #47 | Judkins by 6 |
| Position rank | RB21 | RB22 | |
| Market ADP | 48.7 | 52.0 | Montgomery +3.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 8 |
Should I start Quinshon Judkins or David Montgomery in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Quinshon Judkins by 0.7 projected points (10.2 vs 9.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Quinshon Judkins or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Quinshon Judkins. He projects 174.3 fantasy points with 37.8 value over replacement, vs 162.4 points and 25.8 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR).