David Montgomery vs TreVeyon Henderson
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 2.8 points of value over replacement (24.9 vs 22.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 58.2 vs 63.0 for TreVeyon Henderson.
Health note: TreVeyon Henderson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Leg), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | TreVeyon HendersonNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 158.5 | 155.7 | Montgomery +2.8 pts |
| Points per game | 9.3 | 9.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 24.9 | 22.1 | Montgomery +2.8 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #53 | Montgomery by 4 |
| Position rank | RB24 | RB25 | |
| Market ADP | 58.2 | 63.0 | Henderson +4.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 158.5 fantasy points with 24.9 value over replacement, vs 155.7 points and 22.1 for TreVeyon Henderson (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.