David Montgomery vs TreVeyon Henderson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.1 projected points (9.8 vs 9.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
David Montgomery faces TEN, the 21st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. TreVeyon Henderson faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes David Montgomery: a clear but modest edge of 14.2 points of value over replacement (31.7 vs 17.5).
The draft market agrees: David Montgomery goes first at ADP 52.0 vs 63.7 for TreVeyon Henderson.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Out (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: TreVeyon Henderson carries an injury flag of Out (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | TreVeyon HendersonNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | TEN | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.8 | 9.6 | Montgomery +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #21 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 168.3 | 154.1 | Montgomery +14.2 pts |
| Points per game | 9.9 | 9.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 31.7 | 17.5 | Montgomery +14.2 |
| Overall rank | #44 | #55 | Montgomery by 11 |
| Position rank | RB22 | RB24 | |
| Market ADP | 52.0 | 63.7 | Henderson +11.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 6 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | Out |
Should I start David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans David Montgomery by 0.1 projected points (9.8 vs 9.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft David Montgomery or TreVeyon Henderson in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 168.3 fantasy points with 31.7 value over replacement, vs 154.1 points and 17.5 for TreVeyon Henderson (RB, PPR).