Jaylen Warren vs David Montgomery
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB25
Jaylen Warren
151.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB26
David Montgomery
149.8
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 1.8 points of value over replacement (22.0 vs 20.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market has them practically even (ADP 58.4 vs 58.4), so whichever falls to you is the pick.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.7 | 149.8 | Warren +1.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.9 | 8.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 22.0 | 20.1 | Warren +1.8 |
| Overall rank | #54 | #56 | Warren by 2 |
| Position rank | RB25 | RB26 | |
| Market ADP | 58.4 | 58.4 | Even |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 8 |
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 151.7 fantasy points with 22.0 value over replacement, vs 149.8 points and 20.1 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.