Head to head · RB · 2026
Jaylen Warren vs David Montgomery
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jaylen Warren
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 1.8 points of value over replacement (19.6 vs 17.8) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way — drafters take David Montgomery first (ADP 56.3 vs 65.4). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick: the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen Warren | David Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | PIT | HOU |
| Overall rank | #55 | #58 |
| Position rank | RB25 | RB26 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 151.7 | 149.8 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 19.6 | 17.8 |
| Market ADP | 65.4 | 56.3 |
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 151.7 fantasy points with 19.6 value over replacement, vs 149.8 points and 17.8 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.