Aaron Jones vs Rachaad White
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 0.8 projected points (6.6 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Aaron Jones faces NO, the 14th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rachaad White faces NYG, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Aaron Jones: a clear but modest edge of 12.3 points of value over replacement (-26.6 vs -38.9).
The draft market agrees: Aaron Jones goes first at ADP 101.6 vs 130.0 for Rachaad White.
| Aaron JonesMIN | Rachaad WhiteWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NO | NYG | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 6.6 | 5.8 | Jones +0.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #14 | #17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 110.0 | 97.7 | Jones +12.3 pts |
| Points per game | 6.5 | 5.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -26.6 | -38.9 | Jones +12.3 |
| Overall rank | #100 | #113 | Jones by 13 |
| Position rank | RB35 | RB38 | |
| Market ADP | 101.6 | 130.0 | White +28.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 11 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start Aaron Jones or Rachaad White in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Aaron Jones by 0.8 projected points (6.6 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Aaron Jones or Rachaad White in 2026 fantasy football?
Aaron Jones. He projects 110.0 fantasy points with -26.6 value over replacement, vs 97.7 points and -38.9 for Rachaad White (RB, PPR).