Tyler Allgeier vs Kenneth Gainwell
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Tyler Allgeier this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (4.3 vs 3.0).
Tyler Allgeier faces NYG, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kenneth Gainwell faces GB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyler Allgeier: a clear but modest edge of 13.4 points of value over replacement (-65.7 vs -79.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyler AllgeierARI | Kenneth GainwellTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | GB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 4.3 | 3.0 | Allgeier +1.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 70.8 | 57.4 | Allgeier +13.4 pts |
| Points per game | 4.2 | 3.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -65.7 | -79.2 | Allgeier +13.4 |
| Overall rank | #146 | #158 | Allgeier by 12 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB50 | |
| Market ADP | 154.9 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 |
Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Kenneth Gainwell in Week 4?
Start Tyler Allgeier this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.3 projected points (4.3 vs 3.0).
Should I draft Tyler Allgeier or Kenneth Gainwell in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyler Allgeier. He projects 70.8 fantasy points with -65.7 value over replacement, vs 57.4 points and -79.2 for Kenneth Gainwell (RB, PPR).