Tony Pollard vs Rico Dowdle
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
RB30
Tony Pollard
129.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB32
Rico Dowdle
128.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tony Pollard by 1.7 points of value over replacement (0.0 vs -1.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Tony Pollard goes first at ADP 69.3 vs 74.5 for Rico Dowdle.
| Tony PollardTEN | Rico DowdlePIT | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 129.7 | 128.0 | Pollard +1.7 pts |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 7.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 0.0 | -1.7 | Pollard +1.7 |
| Overall rank | #71 | #74 | Pollard by 3 |
| Position rank | RB30 | RB32 | |
| Market ADP | 69.3 | 74.5 | Dowdle +5.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 9 |
Should I draft Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?
Tony Pollard. He projects 129.7 fantasy points with 0.0 value over replacement, vs 128.0 points and -1.7 for Rico Dowdle (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.