Head to head · RB · 2026
Tony Pollard vs Rico Dowdle
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Tony Pollard
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Tony Pollard by 1.7 points of value over replacement (-2.4 vs -4.0) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Tony Pollard goes first at ADP 72.7 vs 77.7 for Rico Dowdle.
| Tony Pollard | Rico Dowdle | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | TEN | PIT |
| Overall rank | #73 | #78 |
| Position rank | RB31 | RB32 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 129.7 | 128.0 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -2.4 | -4.0 |
| Market ADP | 72.7 | 77.7 |
Should I draft Tony Pollard or Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?
Tony Pollard. He projects 129.7 fantasy points with -2.4 value over replacement, vs 128.0 points and -4.0 for Rico Dowdle (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.